Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.415906 3.947046 4.535487 5.236125 6.048192 6.960484 8.064151
2024-10-20 2.687914 3.374170 4.200658 5.270846 6.622432 8.276073 10.458273
2024-10-27 2.066511 2.786852 3.719458 5.018541 6.786997 9.118739 12.440731
2024-11-03 1.780925 2.562294 3.642288 5.249846 7.593015 10.901183 15.957684
2024-11-10 1.580412 2.411432 3.630437 5.558164 8.549421 13.046240 20.380036
2024-11-17 1.380763 2.222260 3.525209 5.702703 9.280535 14.978008 24.841566
2024-11-24 1.193817 2.017331 3.357062 5.712419 9.791652 16.641794 29.174345
2024-12-01 1.005832 1.777004 3.089588 5.506969 9.901088 17.649807 32.568637
2024-12-08 0.849387 1.563558 2.830989 5.267950 9.901218 18.452181 35.719101
2024-12-15 0.765429 1.465467 2.758510 5.349630 10.493470 20.412321 41.385085
2024-12-22 0.668636 1.327538 2.590519 5.220396 10.655204 21.572263 45.670278
2024-12-29 0.636973 1.310781 2.650379 5.547618 11.777939 24.810727 54.836382
2025-01-05 0.587134 1.252982 2.626841 5.715283 12.632096 27.713485 64.017193
2025-01-12 0.531484 1.174377 2.548883 5.755533 13.223030 30.168449 72.724245
2025-01-19 0.458183 1.045765 2.344369 5.480807 13.056732 30.904211 77.546414
2025-01-26 0.433112 1.021752 2.367460 5.734931 14.179177 34.851382 91.134095
2025-02-02 0.415396 1.011990 2.421590 6.073153 15.571268 39.715284 108.148219
2025-02-09 0.388072 0.974621 2.404411 6.231864 16.539852 43.697959 123.684055
2025-02-16 0.355601 0.919208 2.334368 6.242774 17.123329 46.786250 137.413030
2025-02-23 0.315354 0.837447 2.185195 6.017916 17.024704 48.010930 146.007978
2025-03-02 0.278528 0.758927 2.032291 5.756243 16.773951 48.761169 153.339129
2025-03-09 0.260669 0.729212 2.005264 5.845764 17.561309 52.669608 171.448013
2025-03-16 0.235652 0.675635 1.904634 5.704270 17.632361 54.456715 183.116062